Tuesday, October 23, 2012

Earthquake predictions and a triumph of scientific illiteracy in an Italian court

In general, scientists tend to gather as much data as they can before making their predictions. Often as not, these include caveats. When predicting natural phenomenon and disasters, this is pretty much how the systemIn general, scientists tend to gather as much data as they can before making their predictions. Often as not, these include caveats. When predicting natural phenomenon and disasters, this is pretty much how the systemAn Italian judge sends scientists to jail after an earthquake as builders of collapsed structures walk free.PAGER results are generally available within 30 minutes of the earthquake's occurrence. However, information on the extent of shaking will be uncertain in the minutes and hours following an earthquake and typicallySeven Italian scientists have been convicted of manslaughter for failing to predict and warn residents of a deadly 2009 earthquake in the city of L'Aquil..
Related External LinksScientists jailed for not predicting earthquake that killed 309 | BlastrItaly's Troubling Earthquake Convictions - Dot Earth - The New York ...Pielke Jr. on Lessons of the LʼAquila Earthquake Lawsuit

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