Sunday, November 11, 2012

Nate Silver predicted baseball before elections

Republicans disregarded Nate Silver and other empiricists, and lost badly. Almost everyone is ignoring the empirical data of climate scientists -- and our losses could be catastrophic.Baseball was Nate Silver's first numbers game. From a very young age, Silver has been captivated and calculating about baseball. In 2002, the 34-year-old devised a formula to gauge a baseball player's probable performance over time — not just nextNate Silver was right. The Gallup Poll was wrong. Silver, 34, a University of Chicago graduate and the computer expert who gave Obama a 90 percent chance of winning re-election, predicted on his blog, FiveThirtyEight (for the number of votes in theBy NATE SILVER. As Americans' modes of communication change, the techniques that produce the most accurate polls seems to be changing as well. In last Tuesday's presidential election, a number of polling firms thatBarack Obama may have comfortably won re-election in the electoral college, and opened up a decisive lead (two million and counting) in the popular.
Related External Linkspoliticalbetting.com » Blog Archive » According to Nate Silver's ...Nate Silver and Paula BroadwellWhich Polls Fared Best (and Worst) in the 2012 Presidential Race

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